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CME Energy To Hit Earth 24-25 JAN 12

Everything that is sub-orbital or beyond.
 

miamiair (netAirspace FAA) 23 Jan 12, 15:05Post
This morning, Jan. 23rd around 0359 UT, big sunspot 1402 erupted, producing a long-duration M9-class solar flare. The explosion's M9-ranking puts it on the threshold of being an X-flare, the most powerful kind. NASA's Solar Dynamics Observatory captured the flare's extreme ultraviolet flash:

Image

The Solar and Heliosphere Observatory (SOHO) and the STEREO-Behind spacecraft have both detected a CME rapidly emerging from the blast site. Analysts at the Goddard Space Weather Lab estimate a velocity of 2200 km. There is little doubt that the cloud is heading in the general direction of Earth. A preliminary inspection of SOHO/STEREO imagery suggests that the CME will deliver a strong glancing blow to Earth's magnetic field on Jan. 24-25 as it sails mostly north of our planet. Stay tuned for updates

Link
And let's get one thing straight. There's a big difference between a pilot and an aviator. One is a technician; the other is an artist in love with flight. — E. B. Jeppesen
miamiair (netAirspace FAA) 23 Jan 12, 15:09Post
For those in the Northern Latitudes, the aurora borealis should be spectacular.
And let's get one thing straight. There's a big difference between a pilot and an aviator. One is a technician; the other is an artist in love with flight. — E. B. Jeppesen
ShanwickOceanic (netAirspace FAA) 23 Jan 12, 15:11Post
Naturally, the forecast is 8/8 cover for the entire week {grumpy}

I could get to HEL and back on Blue1 tomorrow evening for 75 euros... no guarantee of a window though. Hmmm.
My friend and I applied for airline jobs in Australia, but they didn't Qantas.
Lucas (netAirspace ATC & Founding Member) 23 Jan 12, 15:21Post
Might be able to see it here in Montana. I'll keep an eye out. {thumbsup}
Queso (netAirspace ATC Tower Chief & Founding Member) 23 Jan 12, 15:31Post
I once saw an aurora here in West Texas, it was in the early 90's. It was red and very low on the horizon, I wouldn't have known what it was had I not seen it when I lived in Alaska. I'd really like to see it here again, maybe a flare like this could cause it to happen. I'll keep an eye out over the next few nights, just in case.
Slider... <sniff, sniff>... you stink.
DXing 23 Jan 12, 17:14Post
That'll about do it for polar flights for a day or two. Hope those lower Anchorage center controllers are ready for some increased business. One thing that will help is that with this being the Chinese New Year, a lot of flights there are not operating.
What's the point of an open door policy if inside the open door sits a closed mind?
AndesSMF (Founding Member) 23 Jan 12, 17:15Post
Polar flights don't occur during heavy aurora activity?

Too bad I'm a little to low to watch this one... {vsad}
Einstein said two things were infinite; the universe, and stupidity. He wasn't sure about the first, but he was certain about the second.
ANCFlyer (netAirspace ATC & Founding Member) 23 Jan 12, 17:29Post
Calling for partial cloud cover here tomorrow, about 50%, so maybe I'll get lucky . . . .

I'm only 200 miles or south of the Arctic Circle, hopefully it'll be a great show. No guarantees on photos though, I have a point and shoot digital gizmo. Maybe I can talk the wife into breaking out her camera. Takes a PhD to operate that thing.
LET'S GO BRANDON!!!!
ShanwickOceanic (netAirspace FAA) 23 Jan 12, 17:45Post
ANCFlyer wrote:Calling for partial cloud cover here tomorrow, about 50%, so maybe I'll get lucky . . . .

I'm only 200 miles or south of the Arctic Circle, hopefully it'll be a great show. No guarantees on photos though, I have a point and shoot digital gizmo. Maybe I can talk the wife into breaking out her camera. Takes a PhD to operate that thing.

FWIW, the one I posted in the other thread was just auto-and-hope apart from cranking the ISO way more than I probably needed to. Your pics are probably all I'll see of this one...
My friend and I applied for airline jobs in Australia, but they didn't Qantas.
DXing 23 Jan 12, 17:49Post
AndesSMF wrote:Polar flights don't occur during heavy aurora activity?

Too bad I'm a little to low to watch this one... {vsad}


CME's can produce radio blackouts and geomagnetic disturbances greater than G3 on the scale. If this affects the atmosphere greater than predicted the conservative approach would be to file below 78 north. But as I said, with this being the Chinese New Year a lot of flights simply aren't operating.
What's the point of an open door policy if inside the open door sits a closed mind?
Zak (netAirspace FAA) 25 Jan 12, 10:06Post
As just posted in the General Photography thread - here are some photos from a guy in Norway: http://www.fotocommunity.de/pc/pc/mypics/417992

According to him, the activity wasn't nearly as strong as they had expected, but the shots are still great.

Check out our photo forum as well, a great shot from Ed in there: viewtopic.php?p=173379#p173379
Ideology: The mistaken belief that your beliefs are neither beliefs nor mistaken.
ShanwickOceanic (netAirspace FAA) 25 Jan 12, 10:28Post
Now that's what I'm aiming for :) I remember some of those patterns, too. Reallly, really cool to think that someone in another country was seeing and photographing the same thing as me.
My friend and I applied for airline jobs in Australia, but they didn't Qantas.
miamiair (netAirspace FAA) 25 Jan 12, 10:32Post
Something I saw on a program a while back:

If you happen to be reasonably close to one of the Earth’s magnetic poles, the next time there’s a particularly intense aurora, go outside. Get as far as you can from sources of noise – traffic, barking dogs, TVs – and listen. Listen carefully.

If conditions are right, you may hear some unusual noises. Earwitnesses have said the sound is like radio static, a small animal rustling through dry grass and leaves, or the crinkling of a cellophane wrapper. Inuit folklore says it’s the sound of the spirits of the dead, either playing a game or trying to communicate with the living.

It’s the sound of the aurora itself. And the cause is currently unknown. Understanding the phenomenon is made more difficult by the fact that though there are many anecdotal reports, the sound has yet to be recorded.

Aurora displays are caused by the solar wind interacting with the Earth’s magnetic field and atmosphere. Because these interactions happen at altitudes of at least sixty kilometers, the sounds heard cannot be made by the aurora directly. Even if the air up there were dense enough to support sound waves, they would disperse and fade long before they reached the ground.

The sounds aren’t common, and there doesn’t seem to be any consistency in their occurrences. What’s more, one observer of an aurora may hear the sounds distinctly, while another observer of the same display– even at the same location– may not.

Link


And let's get one thing straight. There's a big difference between a pilot and an aviator. One is a technician; the other is an artist in love with flight. — E. B. Jeppesen
CO777ER (Database Editor & Founding Member) 26 Jan 12, 00:54Post
Any cool pics Shanwick? Foxnews just showed a video time-laps from Finland.
ShanwickOceanic (netAirspace FAA) 26 Jan 12, 01:12Post
CO777ER wrote:Any cool pics Shanwick? Foxnews just showed a video time-laps from Finland.

There are some good time-lapses out there, but the way it was moving last night it looked like a time-lapse {cheerful}

The one I posted in the other thread was about the best I got, but this one cleaned up sort of OK too.

IMG_9297.jpg
IMG_9297.jpg (234.1 KiB) Viewed 2067 times


I think you can see the structure a bit better, not least because the thing had actually slowed down a hell of a lot by this point.
My friend and I applied for airline jobs in Australia, but they didn't Qantas.
ANCFlyer (netAirspace ATC & Founding Member) 26 Jan 12, 02:21Post
Sadly, we now have cloud cover, 100% cloud cover. I was out the first night this was to happen, at 0200, and zippo. Clear as a bell, stars everywhere, and zippo. So, back to bed. Wife said WTF, you've seen the Northern Lights before . . . {grumpy} {grumpy} {grumpy}

Alas, no joy in the far reaches of Alaska. {vsad}
LET'S GO BRANDON!!!!
 

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